Talk by Professor Chen-yuan Tung (Visiting Scholar at the University of California)
Taiwan will hold general elections to elect the 14th President and 113 members of the 9th Legislative Yuan on 16 January, 2016. Currently, there are three presidential candidates: Hung Hsiu-chu (KMT), Tsai Ing-wen (DPP), and James Soong (PFP). The 2016 elections will significantly change Taiwan’s political landscape and will have consequent impact on relations between Taiwan and China. In his speech, Prof. Tung will provide his observations on the following questions: Who is most likely to win Taiwan’s 2016 presidential election? Why is Tsai Ing-wen popular as well as Hung Hsiu-chu and James Soong unpopular in Taiwan’s 2016 presidential election? Which party or party alliance might win the majority seats of the Legislative Yuan? What is President Ma’s legacy of cross-Strait relations? How will Tsai’s winning of Taiwan’s 2016 presidential election influence cross-Strait relations?
About the Speaker: Chen-yuan Tung is currently a Visiting Scholar at the University of California, Berkeley; Distinguished Professor of the Graduate Institute of Development Studies and Director of the Center for Prediction Markets at National Chengchi University (Taiwan); and President of Association for Cross-Strait Policy (Taiwan). He received his Ph.D. degree in international affairs from the School of Advanced International Studies (SAIS), Johns Hopkins University. From September 2006 to May 2008, he was vice chairman of the Mainland Affairs Council, Executive Yuan, Republic of China (Taiwan). His expertise focuses on international political economy, Chinese economic development, and prediction markets.
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